DealNet Briefing Preview
Updated Fall 2026 · Next update Winter 26/27The market repriced. Deals changed shape. The premium moved to solutions.
A quarterly analyst read on Work Tech M&A from frontoffice to backoffice, built from DealNet, Charles Bedard’s proprietary Work Tech deal-tracking network.
Public software EV/ARR multiple. February fell 25% in a single month, then the market found a new floor.
Source: SaaS Capital Index. Private disclosed-price deals in DealNet followed: 4.54x average in 2025, 2.97x so far in 2026.
Solution and vertical-market deals have already passed their full-year 2025 totals. Office of the CFO and payroll counts are tracking close to 2025.
Office of the CFO
90% of full-year 2025 reached by Fall 2026
Payroll
69% of full-year 2025 reached by Fall 2026
As-a-solution
117% of full-year 2025 reached by Fall 2026
Vertical-market
124% of full-year 2025 reached by Fall 2026
DealNet deal counts by quarter, like-for-like across periods. Q4 2025 collection is lighter than other quarters; Q3 2026 counts update with the next refresh.
Median EV/revenue of 2026 Work Tech deals with a disclosed multiple. The volume is in services; the price is in software, intelligence and AI.
Source: DealNet, 2026 YTD. Deals with monetized AI revenue price near 5–14x revenue.
Jump to: Q3 2026 · Q2 2026 · Q1 2026 · FY 2025
Q3 2026 Fall 2026
Deal counts update with the next data refresh.
Investment trends
- Public software held near its new floor: the SaaS Capital Index ticked back up to 3.82x EV/ARR in July.
- Holdco buyers priced the reset: Bending Spoons bought Airtable at about 2.7x ARR, against an $11.7B 2021 valuation.
- Fund raises kept dry powder flowing to the lower middle market: Serent Capital closed $1.3B.
M&A deals
- Grant Thornton Advisors (New Mountain Capital) to acquire CBIZ, about $5.0B: services roll-up at scale.
- Bending Spoons acquired Airtable ($1.29B) and Miro ($1.36B).
- Thoma Bravo acquired Tanda ($561M), workforce management.
- Paylocity acquired Aidora: leave management bought into the payroll stack.
Signals
472 DealNet signals logged in Q3 so far, led by executive moves (174), product launches (80), M&A (60) and awards (50).
Go deeper
- Payroll M&A 2026: The 2 Deal Drivers
- Work Tech M&A 2026: The 2 Deal Drivers
- Backoffice M&A 2026: The Next 5 Deal Drivers
- Workforce Compliance M&A 2026: The Next 5 Deal Drivers
- Ten Billion Dollars, and They’re Still in Excel
- ERP in the AI Era
- Fall 2026 eNewsletter: The Winning Playbook for the AI Era
- Charles Bedard’s LinkedIn newsletter
Q2 2026 Summer 2026
Investment trends
- The public reset found a floor: the SaaS Capital Index traded in a 3.2–3.7x band through the spring, and the reset cascaded into smaller PE deals by summer.
- Capital concentrated in AI: generative AI funding rose 146% year over year to $136B, and mega-rounds took a growing share.
- H1 2026 global deal value reached about $1.6T, up 28%, in a barbell market of megadeals plus small tuck-ins.
M&A deals
- KKR acquired Crowe (about $3.0B): accounting and advisory services roll-up.
- Salesforce acquired Fin (formerly Intercom) for about $3.6B.
- Nuvei acquired Payoneer (about $2.7B).
- Stack buyers moved on payroll: Gusto–Mosey, Mercury–Central, UnitedHealth–Alegeus, LumberFi–Pivla.
Signals
642 DealNet signals logged: executive moves (302), M&A (152), product launches (74) and investment (28). Achieve Partners raised a $450M fund.
Go deeper
Q1 2026 Winter 2026
Investment trends
- February broke the public market: the SaaS Capital Index fell to 3.62x EV/ARR, down 25% in a single month.
- Secondaries became the release valve, with a $225B secondary market giving late-stage companies price discovery without an IPO.
- Debt funded the platform buyers: DailyPay raised $195M in debt, and Sixth Street closed a $4.4B fund.
M&A deals
- Thoma Bravo closed its $12.3B take-private of Dayforce.
- Hg acquired OneStream (about $6.0B), FP&A workflow software.
- TA Associates made a majority growth investment in OneSource Virtual (Workday BPaaS).
- Payoneer acquired Boundless: fintech buys EOR.
Signals
599 DealNet signals logged: executive moves (296), M&A (144), product launches (63) and investment (31).
Go deeper
2025 Full year 2025
Investment trends
- Public software closed 2025 at 5.58x EV/ARR on the SaaS Capital Index, and private disclosed-price deals in DealNet averaged 4.54x.
- Roughly two years of relative stability after the 2022 correction ended as the year closed.
M&A deals
- Paychex acquired Paycor ($4.2B).
- Thoma Bravo agreed to take Dayforce private ($12.3B).
- ServiceNow acquired Moveworks ($2.85B), and Xero acquired Melio (about $2.5B).
- Capgemini acquired WNS (about $3.5B), and EQT acquired NEOGOV (about $3.1B).
- Qualtrics acquired Press Ganey Forsta (about $6.75B).
Go deeper
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